MLB Trade Deadline

March 4, 2009

What About Reggie Willits?

Johnny @ 8:15 pm — Filed under: What About?

Why Willits?

With outfielders Gary Matthews Jr., Vlad Guerrero, Torii Hunter, and Reggie Willits, the Angels outfield appeared set going into the offseason. Instead, the team added Bobby Abreu and Juan Rivera to the mix. Matthews Jr. and Willits seem like the odd men out, with the other four taking turns in the outfield and at DH. The Angels have little reason to deal the Willits, but they also have little reason to hold on to him. The 27 year-old outfielder has little chance to contribute with the big club considering the logjam in front of him. Trading Willits now might bring the Angels a prospect that they won’t otherwise get if they keep the outfielder buried on their depth-chart.

What will the Angels want?

Willits does not have much value, so filling a major need won’t be possible. Deals for a high-upside prospect or two, or maybe a reliever with a live arm might bring the most potential. Willits makes just over the league minimum, so his contract is not an issue. The right-hander won’t be eligible for arbitration for another two seasons, and won’t hit the free agent market until 2013 at the earliest.

Which teams will be interested in Willits?

The Marlins previously had interest in Willits as a center fielder. Now that Cameron Maybin is ready, center field is no longer a pressing need for the team. The Reds are thin on outfielders (though a guy that gets on-base as much as Willits is not exactly Dusty Baker’s type). Buying low on Willits seems like a classic Kevin Towers move, but the Padres have plenty of options for their outfield as is. The team that seems to make the most sense to employ Willits’ services would be the Chicago White Sox. Right now, the Chicago center field job is being battled out between two light-hitting players, Jerry Owens and Brian Anderson. With the lack of any true leadoff hitter, Willits on-base abilities might interest the K Williams.

What do these teams have to offer?

Any hard throwing relief prospect will do.

The final verdict:

The White Sox could use another option in center field. Jerry Owens and Brian Anderson will not produce enough to warrant big league starting jobs. Owens may have the speed, but he just won’t get on-base enough. The bounty for Willits should only be a fringe prospect or two, and that is something any team could accommodate.

February 24, 2009

What About Roy Halladay?

Johnny @ 9:35 am — Filed under: What About?

Why Halladay?

By all accounts, Roy Halladay is one of the best pitchers in baseball. The righty has finished with an ERA below 3.20 and has pitched 220 or more innings in three of the past four seasons. The 31-year old had arguably his best season last year, with a 2.78 ERA in 246.0 innings. Despite Halladay’s dominant efforts, the Jays never seem to finish at the top in the tough AL East. The Jays have not made the playoffs since their World Series victory in 1993, and with the improvements the Yankees, Red Sox, and Rays have made this offseason, that streak will not be broken anytime soon. Given that Halladay’s value is so high and the Jays inevitable fourth place finish this season, trading Roy Halladay now may be in the best interests of the Toronto Blue Jays.

What will the Jays want?

To replace their stud pitcher, the Jays cannot settle for anything less than a potential stud pitcher. Toronto will want at least one young, potential top-of-the-rotation hurler in any deal for Halladay. Other than the void created by a Halladay departure, the Jays appear solid in both the rotation and bullpen. As far as offense goes, the outfield seems set with Rios, Wells, and Snider. Outside of acquiring a young pitcher, the Jays will look to improve their infield. Shortstop should be the priority, but all of the positions could use an upgrade. David Cooper might be the Jays future first baseman, but that won’t keep the club from passing on a big slugger at the position.

Priorities:

  1. potential top-of-the-rotation pitcher
  2. shortstop
  3. catcher, first baseman, second baseman, or third baseman

Which teams will be interested in Halladay?

Only contenders will be interested in acquiring the all-star, considering his contract expires after the 2010 season. Halladay is owed $14.25 million in 2009 and $15.75 million in 2010.

The Atlanta Braves and Chicago Cubs make sense, since they both had major interest in the Padres Jake Peavy over the winter. Another possibility could be the Los Angeles Dodgers. A deal with the Jays would mean the Dodgers would not have to worry about dealing their top prospects to a contender, like they would in a deal for Peavy. A couple of sleeper teams could be the Milwaukee Brewers and Texas Rangers. They both have the prospects and need the pitching.

What do these teams have to offer?

Atlanta Braves -

pitchers: Tommy Hanson, Cole Rohrbough, Craig Kimbrel

infielders: Yunel Escobar, Kelly Johnson, Fredrick Freeman

Chicago Cubs -

pitchers: Jeff Samardzija, Ryan Flaherty

infielders: Josh Vitters, Mike Fontenot

Los Angeles Dodgers -

pitchers: James McDonald, Ethan Martin, Scott Elbert

infielders: Andrew Lambo, Blake DeWitt, Ivan Dejesus Jr., Chin-Lung Hu

Milwaukee Brewers -

pitchers: Manny Parra, Yovanni Gollardo, Jeremy Jeffres

infielders: Alicides Escobar, Mat Gamel

catchers: Brett Lawrie, Jon Lucroy, Angel Salome

Texas Rangers -

pitchers: Neftali Feliz, Derek Holland, Michael Main

infielders: Justin Smoak, Elvis Andrus, Joaquin Arias

catchers: Taylor Teagarden, Max Ramirez, Jarrod Saltalamacchia

The final verdict:

If a deal were to get done, Los Angeles and Milwaukee would have the best chances. Hollywood would welcome another superstar, and Brewers GM Doug Melvin showed us at the 2008 trade deadline that he has the cajones to make a big move when he needs to. Texas has the prospects, but they’re more likely to hold onto their young guys (with an exception for the catchers). The Braves have a ton of good, young outfielders, but that’s not what Toronto needs. The Cubs dealt away too many of their trading chips to make a meaningful offer.

The Jays should absolutely deal Halladay if the right players are offered. Knowing J.P. Ricciardi, he’ll balk at any offer for the superstar. I don’t know if it’s because of Ricciardi is unwilling, stubborn, or incompetent, but the Toronto GM seems to have a problem acknowledging his team needs to rebuild.

Expect Roy Halladay to be shopped around at this year’s trade deadline, but don’t be surprised if a deal does not get done.

UPDATE: MLBTR has some quotes that seems to confirm the unavailability of Roy Halladay.

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